Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: January 2026 (Advance Estimate)
| Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Dec -> Jan) | Advance | Final |
|---|---|---|
| Up (+0.1 ppts or more) | 23.5% | |
| No Change | 27.1% | |
| Down (-0.1 ppts or less) | 49.4% |
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| Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Dec -> Jan) | Advance | Final |
|---|---|---|
| Up (+0.1 ppts or more) | 23.5% | |
| No Change | 27.1% | |
| Down (-0.1 ppts or less) | 49.4% |
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