Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: December 2025 (Advance Estimate)

| Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Nov -> Dec) | Advance | Final |
|---|---|---|
| Up (+0.1 ppts or more) | 49.1% | |
| No Change | 27.2% | |
| Down (-0.1 ppts or less) | 23.6% |







| Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Nov -> Dec) | Advance | Final |
|---|---|---|
| Up (+0.1 ppts or more) | 49.1% | |
| No Change | 27.2% | |
| Down (-0.1 ppts or less) | 23.6% |





