Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: December 2025 (Advance Estimate)

Tue, Dec 30, 2025 · 8:30 AM ET Next release · Sep 24, 8:30 AM ET

Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Nov -> Dec) Advance Final
Up (+0.1 ppts or more) 49.1%  
No Change 27.2%  
Down (-0.1 ppts or less) 23.6%