Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: November 2025 (Final Estimate)

| Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Oct -> Nov) | Advance | Final |
|---|---|---|
| Up (+0.2 ppts or more) | 34.6% | 34.3% |
| Little to No Change (-0.1 pts, +0.1 ppts) | 41.6% | 41.7% |
| Down (-0.2 ppts or less) | 23.7% | 24.1% |





