Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: November 2025 (Final Estimate)

Thu, Dec 4, 2025 · 8:30 AM ET Next release · Sep 24, 8:30 AM ET

Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Oct -> Nov) Advance Final
Up (+0.2 ppts or more) 34.6% 34.3%
Little to No Change (-0.1 pts, +0.1 ppts) 41.6% 41.7%
Down (-0.2 ppts or less) 23.7% 24.1%