Paychex Small Business Employment Watch: June 2025

Tue, Jul 1, 2025 · 9:00 AM ET Next release · Nov 3, 8:30 AM ET
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The Paychex Small Business Jobs Index slipped -0.16 pts to 99.65 in June, marking another month of modest cooling in small business employment growth. The index is down -0.64 pts over the last 12 months.

  • The Midwest (100.15) led all regions for the 13th consecutive month, though all regions saw MoM declines; the West (98.89) was the weakest and fell below 99 for the first time since March 2021.
  • Ohio (101.04) topped all states, while Washington (98.06) and California (98.66) were the only states below 99, with Washington posting the largest one-month drop in nearly four years (-2.27 pts).
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  • Education and Health Services (101.23) remained the top-performing sector for the 13th straight month despite the sharpest MoM decline (-0.48 pts).
  • Leisure and Hospitality dropped further to 97.76, its lowest level since March 2021.
  • Construction rose to 99.97, just under its 2025 YTD average, while Manufacturing gained +0.40 pts MoM to 98.80—the largest monthly increase among sectors.
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Hourly earnings growth for US small business workers held steady at 2.79% YoY in June, remaining just below 3% for the 10th time in the past 11 months.

  • Weekly earnings growth rose to 2.58% YoY, the fifth consecutive monthly increase, while weekly hours worked remained negative at -0.12% YoY.
  • The Midwest led hourly earnings growth at 2.91%, with Tennessee (4.59%) topping all states for the 8th straight month.
  • Tennessee also led in weekly earnings growth (4.79%) and was second in weekly hours worked growth (0.18%).
  • Construction led sectors in hourly earnings growth at 3.27%, while Leisure and Hospitality remained lowest at 2.52% despite showing improvement.
  • Manufacturing posted the strongest weekly earnings growth among sectors at 3.47% for the fourth straight month.