Paychex Small Business Employment Watch: July 2025

Tue, Jul 29, 2025 · 9:00 AM ET Next release · Nov 3, 8:30 AM ET
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The Paychex Small Business Jobs Index rose 0.17 pts to 99.82 in July, matching the 2025 YTD average and just -0.05 pts below its level from July 2024.

  • The Midwest (100.33) led all regions for the 14th straight month; the South (99.70) stayed below 100 for a third month.
  • Leisure and Hospitality (97.16) remained the weakest sector in the South, as it has for 13 of the past 14 months.
  • Tampa (100.76) topped all metros for the first time since March 2021, continuing its post-hurricane recovery.
  • Boston (100.60) posted the biggest MoM gain (+1.40 pts), its best performance in over four years.
  • West Coast metros Riverside (98.24), San Francisco (98.40), and Seattle (98.74) had the lowest metro index levels in July.
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Hourly earnings growth for US small business workers held at 2.74% YoY in July, marking the ninth consecutive month below 3%.

  • Weekly earnings growth rose to 2.76% YoY, the highest since January and up steadily for six straight months.
  • Weekly hours worked turned positive at 0.11% YoY, the first increase since August 2024; one-month annualized growth jumped to 2.32%.
  • The Midwest led all regions in hourly earnings (2.82%), weekly earnings (2.97%), and weekly hours worked (0.13%).
  • "Other Services (except Public Administration)" posted the strongest hourly earnings growth by sector at 3.33%, followed by Construction at 3.22%.
  • Leisure and Hospitality remained the weakest sector at 2.47% hourly earnings growth for the sixth straight month.