Paychex Small Business Employment Watch: May 2025

Tue, Jun 3, 2025 · 9:00 AM ET Next release · Nov 3, 8:30 AM ET
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The Paychex Small Business Jobs Index edged down -0.21 pts to 99.81 in May, indicating largely unchanged small business employment growth.

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  • The Midwest (100.19) remained the strongest region for the 12th straight month and the only one above 100.
  • Texas (101.20) reclaimed the top spot among states, while California (99.36) remained below 100 for the 14th consecutive month despite modest gains.
  • Education and Health Services (101.71) led all sectors for the 12th month, continuing four years of strong job growth.
  • Construction dropped -0.68 pts to 99.69, its lowest reading since March 2021.
  • Leisure and Hospitality remained the weakest sector for the fourth straight month at 98.18.
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Hourly earnings growth for US small business workers slowed to 2.77% YoY in May, marking a new 4-year low and continuing a steady decline in wage growth.

  • The 3-month annualized hourly earnings growth dropped to 2.45%, its lowest since Dec 2020, while weekly earnings growth rose to 2.59% YoY, extending a 4-month uptrend.
  • Weekly hours worked remained negative YoY at -0.21%, with only 3 of the past 48 months showing growth.
  • The Midwest led regions in hourly (3.06%) and weekly (2.79%) earnings growth; the Northeast ranked last in both categories.
  • Tennessee (4.74%) topped states for hourly earnings for the 7th straight month, while North Carolina (1.44%) and Maryland (1.82%) were the weakest.
  • Other Services (3.37%), Construction (3.25%), and Manufacturing (3.05%) led sectors in hourly earnings; Leisure and Hospitality fell to last at 2.11%, its lowest since July 2015.