The New York Fed Staff Nowcast for 2026:Q2 is 2.8%, with the 50% probability interval at [1.8, 4.0]% and the 80% interval at [0.7, 5.0]%. The Staff Nowcast for 2026:Q3 is 2.6%.

• News from this week's data releases left the estimates for 2026:Q2 and 2026:Q3 largely unchanged.
• None of this week's data releases had a significant impact on the Nowcast.