China China NBS PMIs Tier 2 filed

China NBS PMIs: May 2025

Fri, May 30, 2025 · 8:30 PM ET Source Next release · Sep 29, 9:30 PM ET
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China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI rose 0.5 pts to 49.5 in May, marking a modest improvement but still signaling contraction.

  • The Production Index rose 0.9 pts to 50.7, returning to expansion, while New Orders increased 0.6 pts to 49.8, nearing the neutral threshold.
  • Export Orders recovered 2.8 pts to 47.5 after plunging in April, and Imports rebounded to 47.1.
  • Input prices and factory prices remained weak, at 46.9 and 44.7, respectively, continuing to pressure margins.
  • Employment edged up to 48.1 (vs 47.9 prior), still in contraction, and Inventory of Raw Materials remained subdued at 47.4.
  • All enterprise sizes below 50 except large firms (50.7), which led the stabilization; medium-sized firms dropped to 47.5.

China’s Non-Manufacturing PMI dipped -0.1 pts to 50.3 in May, suggesting continued but slower expansion in services and construction.

  • Construction activity slowed (-0.9 pts to 51.0), while services held steady (0.1 pts to 50.2); sectors like transport, telecoms, and software remained strong.
  • New Orders rose 1.2 pts to 46.1, signaling a modest demand rebound, especially in construction (3.7 pts to 43.3).
  • Input Prices (48.2) and Sales Prices (47.3) remained in contraction but improved MoM.
  • Employment was unchanged at 45.5, with a divergence between construction (1.7 pts to 39.5) and services (-0.2 pts to 46.6).
  • Business expectations remained optimistic at 55.9, despite a slight dip.
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China’s Composite PMI Output Index rose 0.2 pts to 50.4 in May, indicating modest expansion across the economy.