China China NBS PMIs Tier 2 filed

China NBS PMIs: April 2025

Tue, Apr 29, 2025 · 8:30 PM ET Source Next release · Sep 29, 9:30 PM ET
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China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI fell -1.5 pts to 49.0 (vs 49.8 expected) in April, signaling a contraction in factory activity that was the worst since December 2023.

  • The Production Index dropped -2.8 pts to 49.8, and New Orders fell -2.6 pts to 49.2, both slipping back into contraction.
  • Notably, the Export Orders Index dropped -4.3 pts to 44.7, the weakest since December 2022, as a result of US tariffs slowing US-China trade.
  • The Imports Index also fell, down -4.1 pts to 43.4, also the weakest since December 2022.
  • Employment weakened, with the Employment Index down -0.3 pts to 47.9, while Inventories of Raw Materials remained weak at 47.0.
  • The Supplier Delivery Time Index held just above the 50 mark at 50.2, indicating slightly faster deliveries.
  • All enterprise sizes (large, medium, small) reported PMIs below 50, with large firms at 49.2 and small firms at 48.7.

China’s Non-Manufacturing PMI declined -0.4 pts to 50.4 (vs 50.7 expected) in April, still above the expansion threshold, but momentum weakened across sectors.

  • Construction Business Activity fell -1.5 pts to 51.9; Services edged down -0.2 pts to 50.1.
  • New Orders Index fell sharply to 44.9 (-1.7 pts), with construction orders plunging to 39.6.
  • The New Export Orders Index crashed -7.6 pts to 42.2, signaling a sharp contraction and the lowest reading since April 2020.
  • Input Prices (47.8) and Sales Prices (46.6) declined, reflecting softening pricing power.
  • Employment Index dropped to 45.5, as construction hiring fell sharply (-3.6 pts to 37.8).
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The Composite PMI Output Index fell -1.2 pts to 50.2 in April, suggesting continued but marginal growth in business activity across sectors.