Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations: May 2025

Wed, May 21, 2025 · 11:00 AM ET Source Next release · Sep 23, 11:00 AM ET
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The Atlanta Fed’s measure of business inflation expectations dropped -0.3 ppts to 2.5% in May, reversing the rise seen in April.

  • Sales levels rebounded slightly while profit margins "compared to normal" declined to the lowest level since December 2023.
  • Year-over-year unit cost growth increased to 2.3% in May, on average, up from 2.2% in April.
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  • The median firm increased prices by 3.8% in the last 12 months and expect to increase prices by 4.0% in the next 12 months (the largest expected increase since December 2022.
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