Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations: April 2025

Wed, Apr 23, 2025 · 11:00 AM ET Source Next release · Sep 23, 11:00 AM ET
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The Atlanta Fed’s measure of business inflation expectations increased 0.2 ppts to 2.8% in April, the highest since July 2023.

  • Sales levels and profit margins "compared to normal" both decreased.
  • Year-over-year unit cost growth decreased to 2.2% in April, on average, down from 2.4% in March.
  • Based on current levels of demand for your main good or service, how much of that cost increase would your firm be able to pass through to consumers?
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  • The distribution of firm’s concerns (left) about a recession is skewed right, with about 25 percent of firms in our sample reporting that they have significant concern about a recession in the next 12 months. A little under 10 percent already believe the US is in a recession, more than reported no concern. This has changed significantly from what firms reported to the same question in September 2024
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