Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators: March 2026 (Final Estimate)

| Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Feb -> Mar) | Advance | Final |
|---|---|---|
| Up (+0.1 ppts or more) | 53.1% | 61.3% |
| No Change | 26.2% | 22.3% |
| Down (-0.1 ppts or less) | 20.6% | 16.5% |





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