Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions: April 2025
The Chicago Fed Survey of Economic Conditions Activity Index decreased to -21 in April from -10 in March, suggesting that economic growth was below trend.
- The CFSEC Manufacturing Activity Index decreased to -12 in April from +12 in March, and the CFSEC Nonmanufacturing Activity Index decreased to -22 in April from -21 in March.
- The Activity Outlook index dropped -18 pts to -32, now down -52 pts in the last two months. 68% of respondents expect a decrease in economic activity.
- The current and planned hiring indexes were both contracting sharply, at -29 and -25 respectively.
- Respondents’ expectations for the pace of capital spending over the next 12 months increased, but the capital spending expectations index remained negative at -25.
- The labor cost pressures index increased, as did the nonlabor cost pressures index. Both cost pressures indexes remained negative.
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