Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey: January 2026

Tue, Jan 27, 2026 · 10:00 AM ET Source Next release · Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET

Fifth District manufacturing activity was little changed in January, with the composite index at -6 (Dec: -7), indicating continued mild contraction with slight monthly improvement.

  • The composite manufacturing index edged up to -6 (Dec: -7; Nov: -15), showing a slower pace of contraction than in prior months.

  • Shipments rose to -5 (Dec: -11), reflecting a notable easing in the decline in outbound manufacturing activity.

  • New orders improved slightly to -6 (Dec: -8), pointing to somewhat firmer demand conditions than in December.

  • Employment fell to -6 (Dec: -1), indicating more firms reported declining payrolls compared with last month.

  • Local business conditions held near recent levels at -8 (Dec: -9), suggesting little change in assessments of current conditions.

  • Expectations for shipments increased to 34 (Dec: 28) and new orders rose to 36 (Dec: 27), signaling stronger outlooks for activity in the months ahead.

  • The future local business conditions index improved to 19 (Dec: 16), while future employment slipped to 2 (Dec: 8), showing firmer sentiment on activity but softer hiring expectations.

  • Prices paid growth increased slightly in January while prices received growth decreased somewhat, indicating a modest widening between input and output price trends.