S&P PMI Commodity Price & Supply Indicators: December 2025

Fri, Jan 2, 2026 · 11:00 AM ET Source Next release · Nov 2, 11:00 AM ET

The Global Price Pressures Index eased to 0.4 in December (from 0.5 in November), remaining well below its long-run average and reflecting broadly muted global commodity pricing conditions.

  • Semiconductor prices surged sharply, with reported price pressures nearly nine times above the historical norm and marking the strongest uplift outside the post-pandemic spike, highlighting concentrated cost pressure in this segment.

  • Aluminium and Copper recorded above-trend price increases for a third consecutive month, indicating persistent strength in select industrial metals despite softer conditions elsewhere.

  • Most other commodities saw subdued pricing, as muted manufacturing activity limited broader input cost pressures across global markets.

  • The Global Supply Shortages Index rose to 0.6 (from 0.5), signaling a modest uptick in supply constraints but still consistent with generally healthy material availability.

  • Above-average supply shortfalls were limited to Transport, Copper, and Stainless Steel, underscoring that supply stress remained narrow rather than widespread.

  • Oil prices declined in December amid expectations of a production surplus in 2026, helping offset cost pressures from metals and easing broader commodity price momentum.

  • Overall conditions pointed to a bifurcated commodity landscape, with intense pressures in semiconductors and select metals contrasted against broadly subdued pricing and supply dynamics elsewhere.

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