Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey: November 2025

Tue, Nov 25, 2025 · 10:00 AM ET Source Next release · Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET

The Richmond Fed’s Fifth District Manufacturing Index fell sharply to -15 in November (from -4 in October), reflecting a broad downturn in activity driven by weaker shipments and new orders.

  • Shipments dropped to -14 (from 4), marking a significant reversal and pointing to a notable pullback in output during the month.

  • New Orders declined to -22 (from -6), signaling a deeper contraction in demand compared with October.

  • Backlogs remained soft at -23 (from -16), indicating continued order depletion and limited forward momentum.

  • Employment improved slightly to -7 (from -10), suggesting a slower pace of job reductions even as overall conditions weakened.

  • Local Business Conditions fell to -20 (from -1), the weakest reading in three months and consistent with broader regional softness.

  • Expectations strengthened across several categories, with future Shipments rising to 25 (from 13) and future New Orders increasing to 26 (from 12), pointing to improved sentiment looking six months ahead.

  • Price pressures firmed, as Prices Paid rose to 6.84% (from 5.81%), while Prices Received held nearly steady at 3.09%, indicating slightly higher input cost growth and stable selling price trends.