USA ISM Services PMI Tier 1 filed

ISM Services PMI: September 2025

Fri, Oct 3, 2025 · 10:00 AM ET Source Next release · Nov 4, 10:00 AM ET

The ISM Services PMI fell to 50.0 in September (from 52.0 in August), the first breakeven reading since January 2010, signaling stagnation in the services sector after modest summer growth.

  • The Business Activity Index dropped -5.1 pts to 49.9, contracting for the first time since May 2020 as demand weakened.

  • New Orders slowed sharply, down -5.6 pts to 50.4, barely holding in expansion after strong August growth.

  • Employment remained in contraction at 47.2 (+0.7 pts), marking the fourth straight monthly decline and fifth in the past six months.

  • Supplier Deliveries rose +2.3 pts to 52.6, indicating slower deliveries for a 10th straight month, a sign of lingering supply-side challenges.

  • The Prices Index edged up to 69.4 (+0.2 pts), extending its streak above 60 to ten months and underscoring persistent cost pressures.

  • Inventories slipped into contraction at 47.8 (-5.4 pts), the lowest since January, while Inventory Sentiment rose to 55.7, reflecting continued perceptions of excess stock.

  • Backlogs improved to 47.3 (+6.9 pts) but remained in contraction for a seventh straight month, suggesting limited pipeline strength.

  • New Export Orders fell further to 46.5 (-0.8 pts), the third consecutive monthly decline, pointing to ongoing weakness in overseas demand.

  • Imports dropped back into contraction at 49.2 (-5.4 pts), after briefly expanding in August.

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