Dallas Fed Banking Conditions Survey: September 2025

Mon, Sep 29, 2025 · 10:30 AM ET Source Next release · Nov 9, 10:30 AM ET

The Dallas Fed Banking Conditions Survey showed that loan activity strengthened modestly in September, with total loan demand rising to 14.3 (from 6.9) and loan volume at 8.6 (though down from 16.7), while loan pricing fell further, reflecting softer lending margins.

  • Loan demand rose to 14.3 (from 6.9), with 39% of banks reporting increases, indicating stronger appetite for credit.

  • Loan volume registered 8.6 (vs. 16.7), showing slower growth as 27% of banks reported declines.

  • Loan pricing dropped to -24.2 (from -18.3), signaling continued pressure on lending profitability.

  • Credit standards and terms remained tight at -4.7 overall, though residential real estate lending saw slight easing (+1.6).

  • Nonperforming loans held near flat at 1.5 (vs. 18.3 previously), but consumer loans showed deterioration, with the index at 5.9.

  • Commercial & industrial loans improved, with loan volume at 9.2 (vs. -5.9) and credit standards still tight (-4.7).

  • Commercial real estate loans softened to 4.6 (from 10.3), but nonperforming loans improved sharply (-4.6 vs. 11.7).

  • Residential real estate loans weakened, with loan volume at -3.0 (vs. 13.0), showing slower mortgage activity.

  • Consumer loans contracted further to -12.0 (vs. -4.5), with rising nonperforming loans at 5.9, pointing to stress in household credit.

  • Banking outlook six months ahead shows loan demand at 36.2 (vs. 19.7), though nonperforming loans are expected to rise to 13.1, while general business activity is seen improving to 14.3.