UK real GDP grew +0.2% in the three months to July 2025 (vs +0.3% in June and +0.6% in May), marking the third consecutive slowdown in quarterly growth momentum.

• Monthly GDP was flat (0.0%) in July, after +0.4% in June and -0.1% in May, reflecting mixed performance across sectors.

• Services output rose +0.4% in the three months to July, the main driver of GDP, with notable contributions from health & social work (+1.5%), professional & technical (+1.2%), and information & communication (+1.4%).

• Production fell -1.3% over the same period, following -0.3% in June, led by manufacturing (-1.1%), electricity & gas supply (-5.1%), and mining (-1.8%).

• Construction increased +0.6% in the three months to July, supported by infrastructure new work (+2.1%) and private housing repair & maintenance (+3.8%).

• In July alone, services rose +0.1% and construction +0.2%, while production fell -0.9%, with broad-based declines in manufacturing (-1.3%) and mining (-2.0%).

• On a YoY basis, GDP grew +1.2% in the three months to July, with services (+1.3%) and construction (+1.8%) higher, while production showed no growth.

• Consumer-facing services output declined -0.6% in the three months to July, weighed down by retail trade (-0.9%) and travel services (-9.1%), though accommodation (+1.7%) and food & beverage (+0.6%) provided partial offsets.