US GDP: Q2 2025 (2nd Estimate)

US real GDP grew at an annualized rate of +3.3% in Q2 2025, revised up from +3.0% in the advance estimate, following a -0.5% contraction in Q1.
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The upward revision reflected stronger investment and consumer spending, partly offset by weaker government spending and higher imports.
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Personal consumption growth was 1.6% at a SAAR in the second estimate, revised up from 1.4%.
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The decline in private investment was revised up from -15.6% in the 1st estimate to -13.8%.
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Federal government consumption growth was the weakest since 2022 Q1 at -8.5% as nondefense spending growth was the weakest since Q2 2021 at -14.3%.
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Real final sales to private domestic purchasers rose +1.9% (revised up +0.7 ppts), showing firmer underlying private demand.
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The gross domestic purchases price index increased +1.8% (revised down -0.1 ppt), while the PCE price index rose +2.0% (also revised down -0.1 ppts) and core PCE held steady at +2.5%.
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Real gross domestic income (GDI) jumped +4.8% after just +0.2% in Q1, bringing the average of GDP and GDI to +4.0%.
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Corporate profits rebounded +$65.5 billion in Q2, reversing part of the -$90.6 billion decline in Q1. The increase in profits was driven by a $59.1 billion increase in the nonfinancial sector.
