NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey: June 2025

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The Empire State Manufacturing Survey’s General Business Conditions index fell -6.8 pts to -16.0 in June, the fourth consecutive month of contraction and the lowest since January.

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  • New Orders dropped -21.2 pts to -14.2, and Shipments fell -10.7 pts to -7.2, both reversing last month’s gains.
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  • Prices Paid fell -12.2 pts to 46.8, while Prices Received rose 3.7 pts to 26.6, showing a mixed picture for inflation pressures.
  • Employment rose for the first time since January, with the index up 9.8 pts to 4.7, while the Average Workweek held nearly flat at -1.5.
  • Supply availability remained tight with the index at -8.3, slightly better than May’s -11.4.
  • Future General Business Conditions surged 23.2 pts to 21.2, marking the first optimistic outlook since March.