Richmond Fed Manufacturing Survey: July 2025

Tue, Jul 22, 2025 · 10:00 AM ET Source Next release · Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET
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The Fifth District Manufacturing Index fell to -20 in July (from -8 in June), indicating a sharp deterioration in manufacturing activity across shipments, orders, and employment.

  • Shipments dropped to -18 (from -5), New Orders to -25 (from -12), and Employment to -16 (from -6), all deepening in contraction.
  • Backlog of Orders declined to -30 (from -18), while Capacity Utilization fell to -14 (from -5).
  • Vendor Lead Times shortened, with the index down to 7 (from 15).
  • Prices Paid eased to 5.65% (from 6.10%) and Prices Received to 3.16% (from 3.57%); firms expect Prices Received to rise over the next 12 months.
  • Future indexes for Shipments and New Orders rose modestly, but the Employment Outlook worsened to -10 (from -4).