Euro Area Inflation: January 2026 (Preliminary)

Euro Area HICP Inflation Source

Euro area HICP inflation eased to 1.7% YoY in January 2026, down from 2.0% YoY in December 2025, and fell -0.5% MoM, reflecting a broad-based pullback in both goods and services prices.

  • The deceleration in the annual rate was in line with analyst estimates and was the lowest since September 2024 (second lowest since April 2021).
  • HICP excluding energy eased to 2.3% YoY (Dec: 2.4%) and fell 0.7% MoM, showing cooling underlying inflation beyond volatile energy prices.
  • Core inflation excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco slowed to 2.2% YoY (Dec: 2.3%) with a 1.1% MoM decline, indicating broad monthly disinflation across core components.
  • Food, alcohol and tobacco inflation accelerated to 2.7% YoY (Dec: 2.5%) and rose +0.9% MoM, standing out as one of the few categories showing price increases.
  • Unprocessed food inflation jumped to 4.4% YoY (Dec: 3.5%) and surged +1.7% MoM, becoming the strongest upside contributor within the food basket.
  • Energy prices deepened their annual contraction to 4.1% YoY (Dec: 1.9%) despite a +0.7% MoM rise, continuing to weigh heavily on headline inflation.
  • Non-energy industrial goods inflation remained subdued at 0.4% YoY (Dec: 0.3%) and fell 2.4% MoM, highlighting ongoing goods price softness.
  • Services inflation eased to 3.2% YoY (Dec: 3.4%) and declined 0.3% MoM, indicating some moderation in the most persistent inflation component.