US Pending Home Sales: September 2025

Pending home sales were unchanged MoM and down -0.9% YoY in September 2025, reflecting mixed regional trends amid improving mortgage rates and rising housing inventory.
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The Northeast rose +3.1% MoM and +0.5% YoY, showing modest growth and outperforming other regions.
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The Midwest declined -3.4% MoM and -1.5% YoY, marking the weakest regional performance on both measures.
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The South increased +1.1% MoM and +0.9% YoY, extending steady gains in both monthly and annual comparisons.
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The West slipped -0.2% MoM and -5.3% YoY, continuing its sharpest year-over-year contraction among regions.
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NAR’s Confidence Index showed 20% of members expect higher buyer traffic in the next three months (vs 19% last month), while 19% expect higher seller traffic (unchanged MoM).
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Inventory reached a five-year high, giving buyers more options and greater leverage in price negotiations.
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NAR noted that mortgage rates have fallen to a one-year low and are trending toward three-year lows, which could aid affordability, though a government shutdown may temporarily slow sales activity.