US Personal Income and Outlays: July 2025

Fri, Aug 29, 2025 · 8:30 AM ET Source Next release · Nov 25, 8:30 AM ET

Personal income increased 0.4% MoM (vs 0.4% MoM expected) in July, with disposable personal income up 0.4% MoM as well.

  • Personal consumption was up 0.5% MoM (vs 0.5% MoM expected), driven by higher spending on autos and financial services.
  • Real PCE rose +0.3% MoM, with services spending up +$60.2 billion and goods spending up +$48.7 billion.
  • In July, personal income growth was driven by higher wages and salaries (+0.6% MoM) and non-wage supplements to income (+0.5% MoM).
  • Personal transfer receipts were flat on the month, and personal income from assets was only up 0.1% MoM.
  • The personal saving rate fell to 4.4% in July, down from prior levels, with total personal saving at $985.6 billion.

  • The PCE price index increased 0.2% MoM (vs 0.2% MoM expected) and remained up 2.6% YoY (vs 2.6% YoY expected) in July.

  • Core PCE inflation was 0.3% MoM and 2.9% YoY, both in line with expectations. The annual rate ticked up 0.1 ppts from June and was the highest since March.