Euro Area Economic Sentiment: August 2025 (Final)

Thu, Aug 28, 2025 · 5:00 AM ET Source Next release · Sep 22, 10:00 AM ET

The EU Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) edged down in August 2025 (EU: -0.3 pts to 94.9; euro area: -0.5 pts to 95.2), while the Employment Expectations Indicator (EEI) improved slightly (EU: +0.6 pts to 98.1; euro area: +0.3 pts to 97.8), with both indicators below their long-term averages.

  • Spain saw the sharpest ESI drop (-2.6 pts), followed by Germany (-1.0) and Italy (-1.0), while the Netherlands (+3.5) and Poland (+0.5) posted gains; France was stable (+0.1).

  • Industry confidence fell -0.2 pts as weaker production expectations outweighed stable order books; managers’ export order books also worsened.

  • Services confidence slipped -0.3 pts on lower past demand assessments, partly offset by improved future demand expectations.

  • Consumer confidence declined -0.3 pts, reflecting weaker household financial outlooks, though intentions for major purchases improved.

  • Retail trade confidence inched up +0.2 pts, while construction eased -0.3 pts, with fewer citing insufficient demand but more pointing to labor shortages.

  • Selling price expectations fell in industry, retail, and construction, but rose again in services; consumer inflation expectations for the next 12 months increased.

  • The Economic Uncertainty Indicator eased -0.4 pts to 16.9, with lower uncertainty in services, industry, and retail, but slight increases in construction and among consumers.

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