Global S&P Global Flash PMIs Tier 2 filed

S&P Global Flash PMIs: July 2025

Thu, Jul 24, 2025 · 12:00 AM ET Next release · Sep 23, 12:00 AM ET

 

Key Results

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Australia

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Australia’s Flash Composite PMI rose to 53.6 in July (from 51.6 in June), the highest since April 2022, signaling the fastest private sector output growth in over two years.

  • Services Business Activity Index rose to 53.8 (Jun: 51.8), while Manufacturing PMI increased to 51.6 (Jun: 50.6).
  • Manufacturing Output Index rose to 52.3 (Jun: 49.9), marking the first expansion in three months.
  • New orders grew at the fastest pace in over three years, though export orders remained in contraction.
  • Input and output price inflation both rose, surpassing their long-run averages.
  • Business confidence eased to an 8-month low despite continued job gains and output growth.

Germany

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Germany’s Flash Composite PMI edged down to 50.3 in July (from 50.4 in June), signaling marginal private sector growth for a second consecutive month.

  • Services Business Activity Index rose to 50.1 (Jun: 49.7), ending a 3-month contraction streak.
  • Manufacturing Output Index slowed to 50.6 (Jun: 51.9), while Manufacturing PMI improved slightly to 49.2 (Jun: 49.0).
  • Input and output price inflation eased to the lowest levels since October 2024, with factory gate prices falling for the third straight month.
  • Employment declined modestly for a second month, with broad-based job cuts across services and manufacturing.
  • Business expectations rose to the highest since May 2024, led by stronger sentiment in the services sector.

Eurozone

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The Eurozone’s Flash Composite PMI rose to 51.0 in July (from 50.6 in June), marking an 11-month high and the seventh straight month of private sector expansion.

  • Services Business Activity Index rose to 51.2 (Jun: 50.5), while Manufacturing Output Index dipped slightly to 50.7 (Jun: 50.8).
  • Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8 (Jun: 49.5), a 36-month high despite remaining in contraction.
  • New orders stabilized after 13 months of decline; services new business rose but manufacturing orders fell.
  • Input cost inflation eased to a 9-month low; output price inflation was steady overall, with services charges rising more slowly.
  • Employment rose modestly, driven by gains outside of Germany and France, even as those two posted continued job losses.

US

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US Composite PMI rose to 54.6 in July (from 52.9 in June), marking a 7-month high as services strength offset weaker manufacturing.

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  • Services Business Activity Index jumped to 55.2 (June: 52.9), the fastest growth since December 2024.
  • Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5 (June: 52.9), the first sub-50 reading since December, signaling renewed contraction.
  • Employment rose overall, but factory jobs fell as backlogs declined in manufacturing; services backlogs rose at a 3-year high pace.
  • Business confidence dipped further, with firms citing concerns over tariffs and federal spending cuts.

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  • Prices charged for goods and services rose at the second-fastest pace since September 2022, just below May’s recent peak.
  • Services price inflation accelerated, marking the second-steepest monthly rise since April 2023.
  • Factory gate price inflation eased slightly but remained historically high, the second-largest increase since November 2022.
  • Input cost inflation picked up again in July, registering the second-steepest rise since January 2023.
  • Manufacturing input costs remained especially elevated, though slightly lower than June’s post-pandemic peak.
  • About two-thirds of manufacturers citing higher input costs attributed them to tariffs; nearly half also linked selling price hikes to tariffs.
  • Roughly 40% of service firms reporting price increases explicitly mentioned tariffs as a key driver.