Chicago Fed Labor Market Indicators

Data Employment

Latest Updates

Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Nov -> Dec)	Advance	Final
Up (+0.1 ppts or more)	49.1%	47.1%
No Change	27.2%	27.5%
Down (-0.1 ppts or less)	23.6%	25.4%

Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Nov -> Dec)	Advance	Final
Up (+0.1 ppts or more)	49.1%
No Change	27.2%
Down (-0.1 ppts or less)	23.6%

Probability of Unemployment Rate Change (Oct -> Nov)	Advance	Final
Up (+0.2 ppts or more)	34.6%	34.3%
Little to No Change (-0.1 pts, +0.1 ppts)	41.6%	41.7%
Down (-0.2 ppts or less)	23.7%	24.1%