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Publications
179Food Insecurity and Consumer Pessimism
May 27, 2026
Assessing the Current State of Wage Inflation
May 26, 2026
AI's Macroeconomic Challenges and Promises
May 20, 2026
The Global Credit Cycle in Corporate Bond Returns
May 19, 2026
Honey, Who Shrunk the U.S. Income Surplus?
May 18, 2026
Stress and Strain from NBFIs to Banks
May 08, 2026
In What Ways Has U.S. Trade with China Changed?
May 04, 2026
Bank Failures: The Roles of Solvency and Liquidity
Apr 16, 2026
The R*-Labor Share Nexus
Apr 15, 2026
Treasury Market Liquidity Since April 2025
Apr 02, 2026
China's Electric Trade
Mar 23, 2026
What's Driving Rising Business Costs?
Mar 04, 2026
Firms' Inflation Expectations Return to 2024 Levels
Mar 04, 2026
The Post-Pandemic Global R*
Feb 25, 2026
Seeing Through the Shutdown's Missing Inflation Data
Feb 17, 2026
Who Is Paying for the 2025 U.S. Tariffs?
Feb 12, 2026
Where Are Mortgage Delinquencies Rising the Most?
Feb 10, 2026
Does the Phillips Curve Steepen When Costs Surge?
Feb 05, 2026
Anatomy (not Autopsy) of the Phillips Curve
Feb 04, 2026
New York Fed EHIs Reveal Small Business Struggles
Feb 03, 2026
Disability in the Labor Market: Earnings
Jan 12, 2026
What Can Undermine a Carbon Tax?
Jan 07, 2026
Which Entrepreneurs Boost Productivity?
Jan 05, 2026
Designing Bank Regulation with Accounting Discretion
Dec 15, 2025
How Businesses Set Prices-In Their Own Words
Nov 24, 2025
Is Monetary Policy Still Seasonal?
Nov 19, 2025
How Has Treasury Market Liquidity Fared in 2025?
Nov 12, 2025
Economic Capital: A Better Measure of Bank Failure?
Nov 06, 2025
Banking System Vulnerability: 2025 Update
Nov 04, 2025
The Shadow Value of Central Bank Lending
Oct 16, 2025
Consumption Sensitivity of Uncertain Households
Oct 14, 2025
End-of-Month Activity Across the Treasury Market
Oct 09, 2025
The Rise of Sponsored Service for Clearing Repo
Oct 08, 2025
A Country-Specific View of Tariffs
Oct 06, 2025
A Historical Perspective on Stablecoins
Oct 01, 2025
Calming the Panic: Investor Risk Perceptions and the Fed's Emergency Lending during the 2023 Bank Run
Sep 30, 2025
Are Businesses Scaling Back Hiring Due to AI?
Sep 04, 2025
Economic Capital: A New Measure of Bank Solvency
Sep 03, 2025
Are Financial Markets Good Predictors of R-Star?
Aug 25, 2025
Flood Risk and Flood Insurance
Aug 07, 2025
A Check-In on the Mortgage Market
Aug 05, 2025
Who Lends to Households and Firms?
Jul 14, 2025
The Zero Lower Bound Remains a Medium-Term Risk
Jul 07, 2025
Reserves and Where to Find Them
Jun 23, 2025
Who's Paying Those Overdraft Fees?
May 28, 2025
Nonbanks and Banks: Alone or Together?
May 21, 2025
Why Does the U.S. Always Run a Trade Deficit?
May 20, 2025
Who Finances Real Sector Lenders?
May 12, 2025
Stablecoins and Crypto Shocks: An Update
Apr 23, 2025
The Origins of Market Power in DeFi
Apr 21, 2025
When College Might Not Be Worth It
Apr 16, 2025
Is College Still Worth It?
Apr 16, 2025
Will Peak Demand Roil Global Oil Markets?
Apr 14, 2025
Monetary Policy Spillovers in the Global Economy
Apr 07, 2025
Why Are Credit Card Rates So High?
Mar 31, 2025
An Interoperability Framework for Payment Systems
Mar 27, 2025
Firms' Inflation Expectations Have Picked Up
Mar 05, 2025
Global Trends in U.S. Inflation Dynamics
Feb 27, 2025
Supply and Demand Drivers of Global Inflation Trends
Feb 27, 2025
How Censorship Resistant Are Decentralized Systems?
Feb 14, 2025
Breaking Down Auto Loan Performance
Feb 13, 2025
Are First-Time Home Buyers Facing Desperate Times?
Feb 03, 2025
Do Payout Restrictions Reduce Bank Risk?
Jan 08, 2025
Anatomy of the Bank Runs in March 2023
Dec 20, 2024
Do Import Tariffs Protect U.S. Firms?
Dec 05, 2024
Documenting Lender Specialization
Dec 03, 2024
Why Do Banks Fail? Bank Runs Versus Solvency
Nov 25, 2024
Why Do Banks Fail? Three Facts About Failing Banks
Nov 21, 2024
Income Growth Outpaces Household Borrowing
Nov 13, 2024
Banking System Vulnerability: 2024 Update
Nov 12, 2024
The Dueling Intraday Demands on Reserves
Oct 21, 2024
What Do Climate Risk Indices Measure?
Oct 07, 2024
Are Nonbank Financial Institutions Systemic?
Oct 01, 2024
The Central Banking Beauty Contest
Sep 30, 2024
End-of-Month Liquidity in the Treasury Market
Sep 24, 2024
Has Treasury Market Liquidity Improved in 2024?
Sep 23, 2024
Are Professional Forecasters Overconfident?
Sep 03, 2024
A New Set of Indicators of Reserve Ampleness
Aug 14, 2024
When Are Central Bank Reserves Ample?
Aug 13, 2024
Reallocating Liquidity to Resolve a Crisis
Aug 12, 2024
The Anatomy of Labor Demand Pre- and Post-COVID
Aug 07, 2024
Mortgage Lock-In Spurs Recent HELOC Demand
Aug 06, 2024
The DeFi Intermediation Chain
Aug 05, 2024
What Was Up with Grocery Prices?
Jul 16, 2024
Exploring the TIPS-Treasury Valuation Puzzle
Jul 01, 2024
Deciphering the Disinflation Process
Jun 24, 2024
Banks and Nonbanks Are Not Separate, but Interwoven
Jun 18, 2024
Can Discount Window Stigma Be Cured?
May 31, 2024
Do Exchange-Traded Products Improve Bitcoin Trading?
May 28, 2024
Veterans in the Labor Market: 2024 Update
May 22, 2024
The Changing Landscape of Corporate Credit
May 21, 2024
Mortgage Rate Lock-In and Homeowners' Moving Plans
May 06, 2024