Latest Updates

• WTO Goods Trade Barometer: Q3 2025 2025-11-28 10:30

  

  The Goods Trade Barometer is a composite leading indicator for world trade, providing an early indication of the trajectory of world merchandise trade ahead of official statistics. The current reading of 101.8 for the barometer index (represented by the blue line in the above chart) is below the most recent value of the quarterly trade volume index (represented by the black line) but above the baseline value of 100 for both indices. This suggests that merchandise trade growth will be slower in the second half of 2025 as the impact of frontloading ahead of tariffs fades, but that trade will remain above trend in the third quarter and into the fourth quarter.

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• WTO Goods Trade Barometer: Q1 2025 2025-06-26 12:00
  

  Global goods trade posted a strong uptick in early 2025 driven by importers frontloading purchases ahead of anticipated higher tariffs; however, weakening export orders suggest that this momentum may not be sustained. The latest WTO Goods Trade Barometer rose to 103.5 — up from 102.8 in March, while the forward-looking new export orders index fell to 97.9, pointing to weaker trade growth later in the year.

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