Logistics Managers’ Index

Data PMI

Source: Logistics Managers’ Index
Source Link: https://www.the-lmi.com/
Frequency: Monthly
Next Release(s): December 2nd, 2025 6:00 AM

Latest Updates

The Logistics Managers’ Index held steady at 57.4 in October 2025 (unchanged MoM), reflecting offsetting trends of easing inventory and warehousing activity balanced by a sharp rebound in transportation.
- Inventory Levels fell -5.6 pts to 49.5, entering contraction as goods move downstream for holiday sales.
- Inventory Costs decreased -2.3 pts to 73.2, still signaling strong upward cost pressure despite lower volumes.
- Warehousing Capacity rose +0.5 pts to 52.0, a slight loosening consistent with reduced storage demand.
- Warehousing Utilization dropped -8.8 pts to 56.5, indicating slower growth in warehouse usage.
- Warehousing Prices increased +1.8 pts to 67.7, suggesting pricing remains firm despite marginally softer utilization.
- Transportation Capacity slipped -0.7 pts to 54.5, showing slower expansion.
- Transportation Utilization jumped +7.3 pts to 57.3, reflecting a surge in freight movement late in the month.
- Transportation Prices rose +7.5 pts to 61.7, ending the two-month negative freight inversion as demand picked up.
- Downstream retailers led the rebound, with Transportation Prices at 70.0 versus 56.4 upstream, as consumer demand drove seasonal freight flows.
- The LMI remained below its long-run average (61.4) for the eighth consecutive month, though late-October readings showed stronger expansion at 60.3.
- Researchers noted this pattern mirrors 2018’s seasonal dynamics, when downstream freight held steady despite upstream weakness tied to tariffs.
- The report suggests inventories are finally being drawn down, easing warehousing tightness and reviving transportation activity, bringing logistics flows back to a more “dynamic, seasonally consistent” pattern.
- Respondents expect the overall LMI to rise to 64.6 over the next year, anticipating leaner inventories but stronger price growth across costs, warehousing, and transportation.
Source
The Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) fell -1.9 pts to 57.4 in September 2025, the lowest since March, signaling continued but slowing logistics expansion amid softer demand and a weakening freight market.
- Transportation Utilization: Dropped -4.7 pts to 50.0, indicating no movement and marking the weakest September reading in the index’s history (avg. 65.1). Analysts note this unusual stagnation points to broad freight softness during what is typically peak season.
- Transportation Prices & Capacity: Prices declined -1.9 pts to 54.2, slightly below Capacity (-2.2 to 55.1), extending the negative freight inversion for a second month. Upstream firms reported only marginal price growth (51.4) while Downstream firms saw stronger gains (61.1), showing a split between manufacturing and retail conditions.
- Inventory Levels & Costs: Inventory Levels eased -3.1 pts to 55.2, while Costs remained high at 75.5 (-3.7). Downstream firms reported higher costs (79.2) than Upstream (73.3), suggesting retailers are bearing more of the price pressure.
- Warehousing: Prices saw the largest drop of any component (-6.3 to 66.0) but remained above 2024 averages, while Capacity edged up +1.1 pts to 51.6 and Utilization rose +3.2 to 65.3, signaling tight but expanding warehouse use.
- Downstream activity remains stronger, helping offset upstream stagnation in manufacturing and wholesale sectors burdened by earlier inventory builds.
- U.S. manufacturing PMI rose slightly to 49.1 but stayed in contraction for a seventh month, with new orders at 48.9 and inventories at 47.7, reinforcing weak freight and production trends.
- ADP estimated U.S. employment fell -32k in September, driven by small business losses, while imports from China fell -27% YoY for three straight weeks — further evidence of subdued supply chain throughput.
- Respondents expect the overall LMI to rise slightly to 59.6 over the next 12 months, but with softer expectations for logistics costs and a leaner inventory approach, especially among downstream retailers.
Source
The Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) rose to 59.3 in August 2025 (+0.1 MoM; +2.8 YoY), indicating moderate expansion with mixed sub-components and a mild negative freight inversion.
- Inventory Levels: 58.2 (+2.7 pts MoM) indicating a broad-based stock build, with Upstream 58.1 and Downstream 57.1 converging as inventories move toward retail.
- Inventory Costs: 79.2 (+7.3) rising near two-year highs; both small (83.7) and large firms (72.2) report strong cost expansion, implying pressure on margins.
- Warehousing: Capacity 50.5 (-0.6) and Utilization 62.1 (+2.6), Prices 72.2 (+3.9) pointing to tighter storage conditions, especially later in the month when capacity dipped into mild contraction (~49.1).
- Transportation: Prices 56.1 (-6.9) and Utilization 54.7 (-4.8) while Capacity 57.3 (+4.7). Capacity now expanding faster than Prices (≈1.2-pt gap), signaling a slight negative freight inversion and softer upstream pricing (Upstream 51.5 vs Downstream 66.1).
- Firm size split: Overall index higher for smaller firms at 62.7 vs 58.2 for larger firms, driven by higher inventory costs and tighter storage for small firms.
- Timing effects: Early-month Transportation Utilization ~61.5 fell to ~50.0 late in August; Warehousing Capacity shifted from mild expansion (~52.8) to mild contraction (~49.1), indicating late-month slack in freight but tighter storage.
- August reading is just below the long-run LMI average (61.5), pointing to steady, but not overheated, logistics activity.
Source
The Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) slipped to 59.2 in July, down -1.5 pts from June and marking the fourth straight month of slowing expansion, driven by easing Inventory Costs and Inventory Levels.
- Inventory Costs fell -9.0 pts to 71.9, still signaling robust expansion but at a slower pace; future expectations dropped -6.6 pts to 75.3.
- Inventory Levels declined -4.2 pts to 55.6, with large firms and Downstream respondents reporting contracting stock; expectations for the next year fell to 56.7.
- Warehousing Capacity rose +3.3 pts to 51.1, returning to expansion for the first time in four months; future outlook edged up to 52.2.
- Transportation Utilization jumped +6.6 pts to 59.5, the highest since January; future index rose +7.0 pts to 64.2.
- Transportation Prices increased +1.0 pt to 63.0, with future prices seen rising sharply to 75.5, especially Upstream.
Source
The Logistics Managers’ Index (LMI) rose to 60.7 in June, up +1.3 pts from May, marking the third reading above 60.0 in 2025 and signaling continued expansion in logistics activity, led by surging inventory and transportation costs.
- Inventory Levels surged +8.3 pts to 59.8, driven by a 22.2 pt Upstream-Downstream divergence; expectations for the next year rose to 62.5.
- Inventory Costs jumped +2.5 pts to 80.9 and are now up 19.3 pts from end-2024; future expectations hit 81.9.
- Warehousing Capacity slipped -2.2 pts to 47.8, entering contraction for the first time since March 2024; future outlook softened to 52.1.
- Warehousing Prices dropped -3.8 pts to 68.3, despite utilization remaining strong at 62.2; prices expected to rise to 75.5 over the next year.
- Transportation Utilization was up just 0.3 pts to 52.9, indicating just a slight expansion. The future index dropped -3.7 pts to 57.2.
- Transportation Capacity fell -2.3 pts to 52.4 (lowest in 12 months); Transportation Prices dropped -1.1 pts to 62.0, with a future index still elevated at 73.3.
Source
The Logistics Managers' Index (LMI) rose to 59.4 in May, up 0.6 pts from April, signaling continued expansion driven by rising inventory and transportation costs despite slower inventory accumulation and tighter capacity.
- Inventory Levels dropped -5.5 pts to 51.5, reflecting near-stagnation, while Inventory Costs surged +2.8 pts to 78.4, the highest since Oct 2022, creating a 26.8 pt spread, the third largest in index history.
- Warehousing Capacity fell -5.4 pts to 50.0, indicating no net change, while Warehousing Utilization increased +2.4 pts to 62.5 and Warehousing Prices held steady (-0.2 pts to 72.1).
- Transportation metrics were stable: Capacity dipped -0.5 pts to 54.7, Utilization declined -0.7 pts to 52.6, and Prices rose +0.8 pts to 63.1.
- Small firms reported more logistics activity than large ones, with a higher overall LMI (63.1 vs 56.2), higher Inventory Levels (57.4 vs 46.1), and higher Inventory Costs (85.9 vs 71.6).
- Future expectations point to continued cost pressure: Inventory Costs (78.9), Warehousing Prices (79.4), and Transportation Prices (75.0) are all forecasted to expand, while capacity is expected to remain tight (Transportation Capacity: 50.0, Warehousing Capacity: 53.9).
Source
The Logistics Managers’ Index rose to 58.8 in April, up 1.7 pts from March, reflecting ongoing expansion driven by rising storage and transportation costs despite slower inventory growth.
- Inventory Costs jumped 5.0 pts to 75.6 and Warehousing Prices surged 11.2 pts to 72.3, suggesting stagnant inventory is becoming expensive to hold as it has not yet been sold to consumers.
- “The movements in inventories we observed from January to mid-March are very similar to the movements we would normally see from August to mid-October. The difference being that when inventories crest in mid-October, it is because they are about to be sold during the holiday season. The inventories that have been built up now will likely be sold more slowly, leading to higher storage costs across the board.”
- Inventory Levels slowed to 57.1 (-4.1 pts MoM) as the Q1 tariff-driven buildup eased; Warehousing Capacity rose slightly to 55.4.
- Transportation Prices climbed 5.9 pts to 62.3, driven largely by Downstream firms, while Transportation Utilization edged down -0.7 pts to 53.3.
- Downstream firms anticipate sharp increases in Inventory Costs (forecast at 94.0) and Warehousing Prices (84.8), compared to more modest forecasts from Upstream respondents.
- Future LMI expansion is expected at 60.6, unchanged from March, with a pronounced divergence between bullish retail-level (Downstream) and cautious industrial (Upstream) outlooks.
- In the next year, upstream respondents expect a significant decline in inventories while Downstream respondents expect a significant increase in inventories.
Source
The Logistics Manager’s Index decreased -5.6 pts to 57.1 in March, the lowest reading since August 2024 and down -0.8 pts YoY, indicating a departure from the rapid growth observed in January and February, potentially influenced by upcoming tariffs.
- The MoM declines in Inventory Costs (-6.7 pts to 70.6), Warehousing Prices (-16.0 pts to 61.0), and Transportation Prices (-9.0 pts to 56.4) may reflect a slowdown in import activity after an initial surge to get ahead of anticipated tariffs.
- Downstream Inventory Levels expanded 7.8 pts faster than Upstream levels MoM, reaching 66.7, suggesting that businesses pulled forward inventory in anticipation of tariffs.
- A negative freight inversion was observed in the latter half of March, with Transportation Capacity expanding faster than Transportation Prices, potentially indicating a future downturn in the transportation market amid tariff-related uncertainties.
- Future predictions for the overall LMI indicate a slower rate of expansion at 60.6, down -5.6 pts from February’s forecast, with expectations of Warehousing Capacity contracting to 45.5 over the next 12 months in a potentially tariff-impacted environment.
Source
The Logistics Managers’ Index increased 0.8 pts to 62.8 in February, the highest since June 2022, driven by inventory buildup and warehousing strain.
- The Inventory Levels and Inventory Costs indexes increased the most, up 6.3 pts to 64.8 and up 7.1 pts to 77.3 (the highest since February 2022) respectively.
- As inventory growth surged, Warehousing Capacity growth eased further, down -1.2 pts to 50.5, indicating almost no growth in capacity.
- Warehousing Prices hit 77.0, up 4.0 pts, with late-February rates skyrocketing to 85.6 due to static inventories.
- There is evidence companies are abandoning lean inventory practices for just-in-case (JIC) stockpiling, mirroring 2021–2022 inflationary trends, ahead of tariffs.
- Transportation Capacity expanded 2.5 pts to 55.1, but Utilization slowed to -2.3 pts to 57.8, suggesting stagnant inventory movement post-tariff rush.
- Transportation Prices eased -4.9 pts to 65.5, though still elevated, indicating sustained demand but loosening market conditions.
- Survey respondents see a rise in costs across inventories, warehousing, and transportation in the future.
Source
The LMI increased 4.7 pts to 62.0 in January, the fastest rate of expansion in the index since June 2022. Both Upstream (63.3) and Downstream (62.7) firms reported similar levels of growth, and smaller firms reported higher expansion (66.0) compared to larger firms (59.6).
- The Inventory Levels index increased to 58.5 (+8.5 pts) and saw a particularly strong increase in the second half of January (63.3). Downstream inventory levels jumped from 33.9 in December to 56.1 in January.
- The Inventory Costs index rose to 70.2 (+8.4 pts) which is the first time the index is above 70.0 since February 2023. The rise in costs was driven by inventory buildup and healthy consumer demand.
- Warehousing:
- Transportation:
- The increase in inventory build up and costs combined with the increase in warehousing activity suggest that there was a sharp upturn in supply chain activity in order to front run potential tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China.
- Respondents predict continued expansion at 66.1 over the next 12 months: expected continued high inventory costs (69.8), transportation prices expected to grow significantly (81.1), warehousing prices predicted to remain elevated (74.8).
Source
The Logistics Manager’s Index fell -1.1 pts to 57.3 in December as the logistics industry saw a seasonal wind-down in inventory levels. The Transportation Prices index increased significantly, up 3.0 pts to 66.8, the highest since April 2022. Transportation Capacity remained in expansion territory at 53.2 after a 0.6 pt increase. The growth was driven by strong consumer demand and e-commerce activity.

There was a sharp contrast in inventory dynamics between Upstream firms (57.9, expanding) and Downstream retailers (33.9, contracting). All warehousing metrics showed expansion and pointed to tighter warehouse conditions: Warehousing Utilization index at 61.7 (+2.8 pts), Warehousing Prices index at 68.0 (-0.8 pts), and Warehousing Capacity index at 56.9 (+0.2 pts).

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