Japan Machinery Orders

Data Industry

Source: Japan Cabinet Office
Source Link: https://www.esri.cao.go.jp/
Frequency: Monthly
Next Release(s): March 18th, 2026 6:50 PM

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Japan’s total machinery orders rose 7.3% MoM in August 2025, rebounding from July’s -4.2% drop and signaling a modest recovery in investment momentum.
- Core private-sector orders (excluding ships and electric power) fell -0.9% MoM, reversing part of July’s 3.0% gain and underscoring continued weakness in underlying domestic demand.
- Manufacturing orders declined -2.4% MoM, following +3.9% in July, reflecting reduced capital investment activity in the sector.
- Non-manufacturing (ex-volatile) orders decreased -6.4% MoM, after +8.8% in July, suggesting a pullback in service-related investment.
- Government orders dropped -41.4% MoM, extending June’s -11.9% fall and highlighting ongoing volatility in public-sector spending.
- Overseas orders surged +28.4% MoM, reversing July’s -8.4% decline, indicating a rebound in external demand for Japanese machinery.
- Orders through agencies fell -11.5% MoM, after +5.1% in July, pointing to weaker domestic intermediary activity.
- On a quarterly basis, total machinery orders are forecast to rise +3.7% QoQ in Q3 2025, though core private-sector orders are expected to contract -4.0% QoQ, suggesting a mixed recovery across demand segments.
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Japan’s total machinery orders fell -4.2% MoM in July 2025, continuing the weak Q2 trend and pointing to a sluggish start for Q3 investment activity.
- Core private-sector machinery orders (excluding ships and electric power) dropped -4.6% MoM (vs -1.7% MoM expected), erasing much of June’s 3.0% gain and underscoring softness in underlying domestic demand.
- Manufacturing orders rose 3.9% MoM, marking the first positive reading in three months, while non-manufacturing (ex-volatile) orders fell -3.9% MoM, reversing June’s 1.8% gain.
- Government orders jumped 21.3% MoM after a -11.9% decline in June, highlighting volatility in public-sector demand.
- Overseas orders declined -8.4% MoM, extending June’s -8.8% drop, and suggesting weaker foreign demand for Japanese capital goods.
- Orders through agencies rose 5.1% MoM in July, following +6.0% in June, providing some stability within distribution channels.
- On a quarterly basis, total machinery orders were down -5.3% in Q2, but are forecast to rise 3.7% QoQ in Q3, with core private-sector orders expected to fall -4.0% QoQ, signaling a possible divergence between headline and underlying demand.
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Japan’s total machinery orders rose 0.3% MoM in June 2025 but declined -5.3% QoQ in Q2, reflecting a broader pullback in capital investment.
- Core private-sector orders (excluding ships and electric power) increased 3.0% MoM in June and were up 0.4% QoQ in Q2, indicating some resilience in underlying domestic demand.
- Manufacturing orders fell -1.8% MoM, while non-manufacturing (ex-volatile) orders rose 1.8% MoM in June.
- Government orders surged 25.2% MoM, reversing declines in March and April, whereas foreign orders fell -6.4% MoM.
- Looking ahead, total machinery orders are forecast to rise 3.7% QoQ in Q3, but core private-sector orders are expected to decline -4.0% QoQ, suggesting softer private sector investment in the coming quarter.
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Japan machinery orders rose 3.8% MoM in May 2025, rebounding after two months of declines, but the overall Q2 forecast still points to a -1.6% QoQ contraction.
- Core private-sector orders (ex-volatile) dipped -0.6% MoM (vs -1.5% MoM expected) in May after a sharp +13.0% gain in March and a -9.1% decline in April.
- Manufacturing orders fell -1.8% MoM, while non-manufacturing (ex-volatile) edged up 1.8% MoM.
- Government orders surged 25.2% MoM, reversing a -12.4% drop in April and -31.0% in March.
- Foreign orders fell -6.4% MoM following an 8.6% MoM rise in April.
- Core private-sector orders are forecast to decline -2.1% QoQ in Q2, signaling softness in domestic capital investment.
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Japan machinery orders fell -2.3% MoM in April, following a sharp -9.4% MoM drop in March, signaling continued weakness in core capital spending.
- Private-sector core orders (ex-volatile) dropped -9.1% MoM (vs -9.7% MoM expected) in April after surging 13.0% in March.
- Manufacturing orders declined -0.6% MoM, while non-manufacturing (ex-volatile) fell -11.8% MoM.
- Government orders contracted -12.4% MoM, extending a -31.0% MoM decline in March.
- Foreign orders rebounded 6.8% MoM after a -13.1% drop in March.
- Q2 forecast: total orders expected to decline -1.6% QoQ; private-sector core orders forecasted to fall -2.1% QoQ.
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Japan machinery orders fell -9.4% MoM and -1.6% YoY in March, a large decline following two solid gains in the first two months of Q1.
- Private sector, non-volatile orders were actually up 13.0% MoM (the largest monthly increase in over a decade) and 8.4% YoY, well above expectations of -1.6% MoM and -2.2% YoY declines.
- Manufacturing orders were up 8.0% MoM, non-manufacturing (ex-volatile) orders were up 9.6% MoM.
- Foreign orders fell -13.1% MoM but were still up 9.3% YoY.
- In Q1, private sector, non-volatile order growth was 1.3% QoQ and 7.1% YoY led by non-manufacturing orders up 5.7% QoQ while manufacturing orders were down -0.9% QoQ.
- The current forecast for Q2 2025 private sector, non-volatile orders is a decline of -2.1% QoQ and -1.0% YoY.
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Japanese machinery orders were up 3.0% MoM and 18.9% YoY in February, building on a strong 9.8% MoM increase in January.
- Total private sector orders were up 12.1% MoM and, when excluding volatile orders, were up 4.3% MoM (vs 0.8% MoM expected) and 1.5% YoY.
- Private manufacturing orders were up 3.0% MoM, and private non-manufacturing orders increased 11.4% MoM.
- Foreign orders increased for the third straight month, up 3.4% MoM and 15.5% YoY.
- Government orders have been volatile in the near-term, but on an annual basis are up 40.2% YoY, driving the headline orders number higher.
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Japanese private machinery orders increased 3.5% MoM in January after large declines in November and December.
- However, excluding volatile orders, the total was actually down -3.5% MoM (vs -0.5% MoM expected), the largest decline since November 2023.
- Manufacturing orders fell -1.3% MoM, and non-manufacturing orders fell an even sharper -7.4% MoM.
- Foreign orders increased 1.9% MoM, and government orders jumped 59.7% MoM after declining sharply in November and December.
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