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MTS Insights

Italy Italy CPI

Data Prices
Source
Istat
Source Link
https://www.istat.it/
Frequency
Monthly
Next Release(s)
October 16th, 2025 5:00 AM

Latest Updates

  • Italy’s CPI fell -0.2% MoM (vs +0.2% MoM expected) but held steady at +1.6% YoY (vs 1.7% YoY expected) in September 2025, with offsetting trends across food and energy components.

    • Core inflation (ex energy and unprocessed food) was stable at +2.1% YoY, while CPI excluding energy eased to +2.1% YoY (from +2.3% in August).

    • Goods inflation edged up to +0.7% YoY (from +0.6%), while services inflation slowed slightly to +2.6% YoY (from +2.7%), narrowing the goods-services gap to +1.9 ppts.

    • Unprocessed food inflation eased to +4.8% YoY (from +5.6%), while processed food including alcohol accelerated to +3.0% YoY (from +2.7%).

    • Energy prices diverged, with regulated energy rising +14.0% YoY (from +12.9%), and non-regulated energy at -3.7% YoY (vs -4.8%).

    • Grocery and unprocessed food prices were flat MoM but fell -3.2% YoY, reversing from +3.4% in August.

    • Transport services prices dropped sharply -3.3% MoM, the main driver of the monthly CPI decline.

    • The HICP rose +1.3% MoM due to clothing and footwear price resets post-sales, pushing the annual rate up to +1.8% (up from +1.6%).