China China Fixed Asset Investment

Data Macro
Source
National Bureau of Statistics China
Source Link
https://www.stats.gov.cn/
Frequency
Monthly
Next Release(s)
March 15th, 2026 10:00 PM

Latest Updates

  • China’s fixed asset investment fell -1.13% MoM in December and declined -3.8% YoY (vs-3.0% YoY expected) in 2025, signaling broad investment contraction led by services and private-sector weakness.

    • Fixed asset investment declined on a monthly basis in every month in 2025 with four months seeing declines of -1% MoM or worse (including December).
    • Total fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) was CNY 485,186bn in 2025 (-3.8% YoY), with private fixed asset investment down -6.4% YoY, indicating a sharper pullback from private-sector capital.
    • Investment by sector was divergent, with primary industry investment up +2.3% YoY (CNY 957bn) and secondary industry up +2.5% YoY (CNY 177,368bn), while tertiary industry investment fell -7.4% YoY (CNY 298,248bn), pointing to concentrated weakness in services-related investment.
    • Industrial investment rose +2.6% YoY within the secondary sector, supported by utilities investment (electricity/heat/gas/water) up +9.1% YoY, while mining rose +2.5% and manufacturing increased only +0.6%, suggesting limited manufacturing investment momentum outside utilities.
    • Infrastructure investment excluding utilities declined -2.2% YoY, though select segments posted large gains including pipeline transportation (+36.0% YoY), multimodal transport/transportation agency (+22.9%), and water transport (+7.7%), indicating uneven infrastructure activity by subsector.
    • All regions contracted in 2025, led by the northeast (-15.5% YoY) and eastern region (-8.4%), with smaller declines in the central (-2.7%) and western (-1.3%) regions, showing geographically broad weakness but more severe declines in the northeast and coast.
    • Investment performance differed sharply by enterprise type, with domestic enterprise investment down -3.8% YoY, Hong Kong/Macao/Taiwan enterprises down -2.2%, and foreign-invested enterprises down -13.8%, pointing to a particularly steep contraction in foreign investment.
    • The composition of investment shifted toward equipment, as building and installation fell -8.4% YoY while purchases of equipment and tools rose +11.8% YoY, implying capital spending leaned more toward machinery than construction activity.
    • Within manufacturing, performance varied widely, with auto manufacturing investment up +11.7% YoY and transport equipment (railway/ship/aerospace) up +17.5%, while chemical raw materials fell -8.0% and pharmaceuticals declined -13.5%, highlighting uneven investment priorities within industry.